Before Ukraine There was Georgia, West Intensifies Pressure on Russia with Regime Change Operations

ANALYSIS: IC ramps-up regime change operations in Georgia to intensify its pressure on Russia.

Dec 01, 2024

Before Ukraine, there was Georgia and for the West and in particular the US Intelligence Community/Pentagon/NATO/State Department conglomerate, the operations and objectives for both are essentially identical. Like Ukraine, Georgia is a former satellite state of the Soviet Union. Like Ukraine, the IC/DoD/NATO/State conglomerate has engaged in regime change operations to install a pro-Western [US and EU] government. Like Ukraine, Georgia is a target for NATO membership. Like Ukraine, the Georgia timeline draws back much further from the present. Like Ukraine, Georgia is contiguous to Russia and therefore aggravates national security and sovereignty considerations in the same ways. Like Ukraine, the conglomerate is using Georgia in its decades-long frontal assault on Russia in order to capture Russia for Globalist interests.

This is the 235th article in the series WAR, FAMINE & DISEASE.

Russia-Georgia relations are long and complex so our objective is to understand enough about them in order to place a lens over new developments in the small nation with a hostile political environment in order to better understand the intense war escalations occurring on a rough 24-hour cycle over the past two weeks.

The genesis of Georgia’s politically constructed pro-Western movement draws back to The Rose Revolution of 2003 and then later, The August War of 2008.

Within the IC/DoD/NATO/State conglomerate’s normal operations and as a function of institutional preservation, presidential transition is a key period of time that is routinely co-opted and leveraged to achieve operational objectives: Will Devastating History Repeat Itself as Biden Administration Plans Presidential Transition to Trump? Planting Another Bomb Like in 2017?

In a brief sidebar, that is precisely what in-part makes right now through to 20 Jan 25 the most dangerous period in all of US history as an illegitimate empire with a January expiration date fights to its death struggling to reestablish some degree of control.

Note the advanced timing of The August War relative to the presidential transition from George W. Bush to Barack Obama, which followed the November 2008 election.

Obama would go on with Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, John Kerry, Victoria Nuland, Jake Sullivan, et al. to infiltrate Ukraine beginning around 2014 to cause the resulting Maidan Revolution: The Keystone of Corruption.

That was the name given to the operations that eventually installed Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky with the help of Ukrainian oligarch, Ihor Kolomoyskyi: The Keystone of Corruption: Ukraine, the FTX Scandal, PrivatBank, the National Bank of Ukraine and Ihor Kolomoyskyi.

DEEPER ON GEORGIA

GO DEEPER ON GEORGIA: Russia or the West: The Stakes in Georgia’s Election.

NEW DEVELOPMENTS

[Cover image: Reuters]

Reuters reports: Many thousands rally to oppose Georgian government after break with EU:

President calls government illegitimate, says won’t leave office
Prime minister says state will not allow revolution
Georgian Dream party had suddenly frozen EU process
More than 100 people detained during overnight pro-EU protests
Further protest underway in Tbilisi late on Saturday

TBILISI, Nov 30 (Reuters) – Many thousands of demonstrators gathered late on Saturday in Georgia’s capital Tbilisi, building barricades, breaking windows and setting off fireworks outside parliament, in protest against the government which called off talks to join the EU.
Riot police responded by firing water cannon and tear gas into the crowds.
The demonstrations were by far the biggest since the increasingly anti-Western ruling party was re-elected last month in a vote the pro-EU opposition says was rigged.
[…]
Earlier on Saturday, Prime Minister Irakli Kobakhidze accused the pro-EU opposition of plotting a revolution. The State Security Service said political parties were attempting to “overthrow the government by force”.
[…]
The country, long one of the most staunchly pro-Western states to emerge from the breakup of the Soviet Union but lately drawn closer into Moscow’s orbit, was thrown into crisis on Thursday, when the ruling Georgian Dream party said it was halting European Union accession talks for the next four years. It accused the EU of blackmailing Georgia.
EU membership is overwhelmingly popular in Georgia, which has the aim of joining the bloc enshrined in its constitution.

NATO

The NATO elements of the political dynamics in Georgia are crucial for understanding.

Consider that,

Georgia constitutionally enshrined its goal of joining the EU and NATO after the 2003 Rose Revolution — a pro-democracy revolution that sparked Georgia’s pro-Western trajectory. The elections after the Rose Revolution brought the pro-Western United National Movement (UNM) party to power, and its leader, Mikheil Saakashvili, became President of Georgia in 2004.[3] NATO supported Georgia’s and Ukraine’s aspirations for membership and their applications for a NATO membership action plan in the April 2008 Bucharest Declaration.[4] Russia invaded Georgia in August 2008 and occupied the Georgian regions of Abkhazia and South Ossetia in part to derail Georgia’s path to NATO membership and to enhance Russia’s rapidly waning influence in the country [read the full article].
Davit Gasparyan, Nicole Wolkov, and Frederick W. Kagan – Institute for the Study of War

The Georgia:Ukraine similarities are stunning to the same extent Vladimir Putin is extremely consistent with Russian policy.

By that, NATO threatened to envelop Georgia in 2008 and Russia immediately invades.

Similarly, NATO threatened to envelop Ukraine in 2022 and Russia immediately invades.

ANALYSIS

In short order, the NATO blueprint for Ukraine and Georgia is essentially the same and for the same reasons.

The timing certainly has organic roots to it with the EU developments occurring on Thursday, but the election was held on 26 Oct 24.

What makes the timing peculiar is how it slots into a lull in the kinetic activity in the full scale regional war in following a major capitulation from Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky by agreeing to forfeit captured territory to achieve peace: Big Picture Comes Full Circle: NATO Membership for Ukraine.

Of course, Zelensky’s proposal is all contingent upon Ukraine gaining NATO membership and that Western encroachment is exactly what Russia and Putin have been fighting against for decades.

Moreover and as quoted in yesterday’s analysis, “to end the war, Zelenskyy wants the thing that started the war.”

Further impacting the prospects of peace is the coming inauguration of Donald Trump on 20 Jan 25, if he can survive the Senate vote to certify the election and live long enough to be inaugurated.

With a small pot of peace simmering on the back burner and the harbinger of peace arriving on scene in January, Occam’s prevails to indicate that the IC/DoD/NATO/State conglomerate is left with two primary options: 1-escalate to full-scale global war to hamstring the incoming Trump Administration -OR- 2-play into the peace effort and reshape operations to include its resistance to the coming Trump Administration and the wholesale changes it is sure to make, which will cut deeply into the conglomerate and the power and authority it has captured.

Occam’s also prevails to indicate that Trump and Putin would immediately normalize relations as were maintained in Trump’s first term.

It remains to be seen how any forthcoming normalized relations between Russia and the US might impact the historically unprecedented diplomatic, economic and military relations that Russia established with China during Biden’s four illegitimate years in office.

By all appearances, the flare-up in Georgia has perfect timing fitting into the lull of this 2-week period of intense escalations.

Occam’s prevails to indicate that this is asymmetrical warfare from the IC/DoD/NATO/State conglomerate that is leveraging deep-rooted and constructed political dynamics in Georgia by engaging in regime change operations as a mechanism to intensify its pressure on Russia.

The operational objective for fully capturing the political leadership of Georgia is analogous to that for Ukraine as defined by the IC/DoD/NATO/State conglomerate’s generational encroachment on Russian national security and sovereignty.

FINAL REMARKS

What will the IC/DoD/NATO/State conglomerate do?

Will it transition to global war and hamstring the incoming Trump Administration upon arrival?

Or will it play into the prospects of peace and reshape its operations and resistance to Trump from there?

The next several days to weeks should inform the answers to those questions.

One thing is for sure.

Everywhere we find the Intelligence Community/Pentagon/NATO/State Department conglomerate, we find political unrest, violence, corruption, propaganda, color revolutions, installed leaders and “rigged elections;” and we can begin that discussion using the example of the United States of America, which until at least 20 Jan 25, will continue to more closely resemble the United States of Venezuela.

It’s time for the Trump wrecking ball [image is the cover image for this article: Architects and Architecture, Why President Trump Must Immediately Redress Executive Order 13470: Authorized “Human Experimentation”].

Please stay tuned for further analysis being published daily around late morning or after.

-End of New Content-

CONTEXTUAL BACKDROP

Chronology

The war escalation chronology that began in late December 2020 [From 2020 Foreign Policy Shift to WWIII in 2024 Biden Marches Us to War] intensified beginning 17 Nov 24 and it entails:

17 Nov 24: Joe Biden’s Sunday authorization for long-range missiles against Russia: Trump Details Plan to “Dismantle the Deep State,” Deep State Counters by Crossing Putin’s Line on Long Range Missiles.
19 Nov 24: Ukraine’s Tuesday leveraging of Biden’s authorization to strike Russia with US long-range missiles: US Long-range Missiles Strike Inside Russia: US Proxy Zelensky Uses Biden’s Authorization to Follow-through on Threat.
20 Nov 24: Ukraine’s Wednesday firing of 12 UK [NATO] Storm Shadow missiles at Russia targeting the Kursk region in Southern Russia: 12 UK Storm Shadow Missiles Were Fired Into Russia, Local Sources Say.
21 Nov 24: Russia’s retaliatory ICBM strike against Ukrainian [NATO?] military targets: Russia Fires ICBM Into Ukraine For First Time, Kiev Claims.
21 Nov 24: Russia’s Thursday attack on Ukraine using hypersonic missiles with MIRV technology: REPORT ACCELERATES ALREADY EXPEDITED WWIII TRAJECTORY: NATO and Ukraine to Hold Emergency Talks After Russian Hypersonic Missile Attack.
21 Nov 24: Russia’s Thursday advisement that a US/NATO missile base in Poland [NATO ally] that became operational this month [reported last Saturday] has been classified as a potential priority strike target: Putin Validates War Analysis: The world stands on the transition line between full scale regional war and full scale global war.
22 Nov 24: Ukraine’s Friday cancellation of regular parliament session to set emergency talks with NATO [from Breitbart]: NATO and Ukraine to Hold Emergency Talks After Russian Hypersonic Missile Attack.
24 Nov 24: Ukraine’s overnight Sunday strikes deep inside of Russia with ATACMS long-range missile systems provided by the United States: REPORT: Ukraine Carried-Out Overnight Strikes with US ATACMS Long-Range Missile Deep Inside Russia.
26 Nov 24: Ukraine and NATO hold emergency talks with an outcome defaulting to perpetual war and trending towards a chemical/nuclear entrapment scenario: All Eyes on NATO/Ukraine Emergency Talks as Russia Prepares for Counterattack to US ATACMS Strike and NATO and Ukraine Emergency Talks Result in Default to Previous Stance, Escalations Ease for Now, Russian Counterstrike Still Looms.
27 Nov 24: Putin addressed the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) Summit in Astana to lay-out plausible Kiev-based targets for Russia’s looming counterstrike: Decision-making centers in Kiev could be targeted in Oreshnik strikes — Putin.
28 Nov 24: Russia carries-out counterstrike in Ukraine in response to ATACMS strikes deep inside Russia deploying 100 drones and firing 90 missiles targeting Ukrainian power infrastructure and causing widespread blackouts affecting 1 million people: Putin Threatens Ukrainian Capital With New Hypersonic Missile.
29 Nov 24: Zelensky goes full circle on an expedited timeline to reposition Ukraine’s NATO membership as a trigger for global war: Zelenskyy Offers To End ‘Hot Phase’ Of War In Exchange For NATO Membership.
30 Nov 24: IC/DoD/NATO/State conglomerate engages in political protest for fuel regime change operations in former Russian satellite state and current target for NATO membership Georgia: Many thousands rally to oppose Georgian government after break with EU.

Established Cycle

As indicated in the analysis and with war reciprocity bearing down, the established cycle is roughly 24 hours.

With a 24-hour turnover in the cycle and during this period of marked intensification, the analysis here is being published daily in the late morning or after.

Analysis

Here is the analysis for the 2-week escalation period:

Full Analysis

To view the aggregate analysis chronologically, see the War, Famine & Disease series.

5-Stage Linear War Trajectory

The analysis laid-out 5 plausible outcomes and where time is taken time to identify ones already eclipsed: 1-threat of war, 2-limited scale regional war, 3-full scale regional war, 4-limited scale global war and 5-full scale global war.

The outcomes posed represent a LINEAR TRAJECTORY from the THREAT OF WAR to FULL SCALE GLOBAL WAR.

The analysis indicates our current placement on the linear trajectory of 5 outcomes: CURRENT PLACEMENT: Resting on the transition line between a full scale regional war and a limited or full scale global war.

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