More Asymmetrical, Irregular and Undeclared Warfare from China: Chinese Ship Sabotages Baltic Sea Cables
ANALYSIS: The analysis covers: 1-Asymmetrical Warfare Defined, 2-Contextual Backdrop, 3-Incident Details, 4-Analysis Through Timing & Location, 5-Final Remarks.
Beijing appears to have stolen a page from Washington’s NordStream playbook to target and sabotage critical fiber optics cables beneath the Baltic Sea in the waters contiguous to the Russia/Ukraine war theater. The clandestine attack by a nonmilitary Chinese vessel represents another incident on a clear trajectory of Chinese asymmetrical, irregular and undeclared warfare against the United States; and where Beijing’s kinetic efforts began in earnest in late December 2019 with the deliberate release of the SARS-CoV-2 bioweapon as the predicating factor to deploy a second bioweapon that to-date has killed no fewer than 20 million globally, mRNA injections [according to anomalous and unexplained excess mortality data]. That argument and the robust body of evidence that accompanies it, which has only grown exponentially larger since, was presented 1,659 days ago on 06 May 20.
The details for the Baltic Sea incident are lined-out below.
The analysis covers: 1-Asymmetrical Warfare Defined, 2-Contextual Backdrop, 3-Incident Details, 4-Analysis Through Timing & Location, 5-Final Remarks.
1-Asymmetrical Warfare Defined
‘Asymmetrical warfare’ as used interchangeably with ‘asymmetric warfare’ is a particularly complex and fairly ambiguous term that has meant many different things to many different people.
In a lengthy and comprehensive examination of asymmetrical warfare, David L. Buffaloe wrote in his paper for the Association of the US Army, entitled Defining Asymmetric Warfare:
Recommended Definition of Asymmetric Warfare: In consideration of the above analysis, I propose the following definition of “asymmetric
warfare”: Asymmetric warfare is population-centric nontraditional warfare waged between a militarily superior power and one or more inferior powers which encompasses all the following aspects: evaluating and defeating asymmetric threat, conducting asymmetric operations, understanding cultural asymmetry and evaluating asymmetric cost.David L. Buffaloe, AUSA.org
Buffaloe’s definition does little to clear otherwise muddy waters as he goes on to write that, “However, the concept of asymmetric warfare has been around for centuries. Following the teachings of Sun Tzu, all warfare is asymmetric because one exploits an enemy’s strengths while attacking his weaknesses.”
In the Baltic Sea incident, the exploited weakness was the inability to identify and intercede on non-military vessels executing military operations affecting critical fiber optics cables in waters contiguous to a war theater.
By all appearances, China’s asymmetrical warfare in the Baltic Sea is reciprocal and serves to reinforce historically unprecedented diplomatic, economic and military alignment between the two nuclear Super Powers of Russia and China at a time the former is fighting the US in a proxy war in Ukraine.
According to US government documents, Buffaloe notes that “the first official mention of the concept of asymmetry to appear in official U.S. government documents occurred in 1995 in Joint Publication 1, Joint Warfare of the United States of America.”
For an historical perspective, we rely on Buffaloe’s assessment of Sun Tzu: “The first is Sun Tzu, the sage of warfare theory. In his monumental work The Art of War, written more than 1,500 years ago, he states: All warfare is based on deception. When confronted with an enemy one should offer the enemy a bait to lure him; feign disorder and strike him. When he concentrates, prepare against him; where he is strong, avoid him. “
This meme was issued in February 2023 as a reminder to include in social media and article posts for the purpose of capturing a multitude of different types of irregular incidents routinely occurring and especially on US soil at peculiar rates:
2-CONTEXTUAL BACKDROP
Our understanding of asymmetrical warfare overlays the Baltic Sea incident to classify it as the same.
To reinforce classifying this incident as asymmetrical warfare by China, we consider three other similar incidents contained in the aggregate analysis attributed to or associated with China and the CCP; meaning that other entities such as rogue elements within our own Intelligence Community/Pentagon/NATO/State conglomerate conducted the associated ones [or other hostiles].
Those incidents are 1-The Surfside Condo Collapse, 2-The James Yoo Arlington Home Explosion and 3-The Dali NYC Bridge Collapse.
Here is that analysis where the common thread is China/CCP:
1-Surfside Condo Collapse Threads Directly to China, the CCP and The Swamp
3a-NYC Container Ship Incident Also Ties to China
3b-The Dali/FSK Bridge Collapse Was More Asymmetrical Warfare from China
Additional contextual backdrop can be found in the analysis of the past few days and in another new development from this morning.
The recent analysis centers on Biden’s authorization for long-range missile strikes inside Russia using US missiles, Ukraine’s immediate deployment of them and Russia’s issuance of another nuclear red line in response:
Along the same lines as Biden’s authorization for long-range missile strikes in Russia and acknowledging that the actual authority is the IC/DoD/NATO/State conglomerate, Biden has issued another war theater authorization as reported this morning and it is for the use of US made land mines designed to target humans [Russian personnel].
Reuters reports that “President Joe Biden has approved provision of anti-personnel land mines to Ukraine, a U.S. official told Reuters, a step that could help slow Russian advances in its east, especially when used along with other munitions from the United States.”
These points of emphasis carry over from the previous analysis:
Point of Emphasis-1
“Where is the threshold line to break Putin’s measured and calculated restraint? [Undetermined but encroaching closely on it. Best call: US is baiting Russia into a military response, which will be co-opted into a false-flag operation and positioned as a nuclear strike on Ukraine with attribution to Russia. This would permit strikes or counterstrikes on Russia depending on how it unpacked and that is the operational objective. Plenty of nuclear red lines already exist as issued by Biden and Putin so the existing pretext for such an operation is robust.]”
Most concerning could be the ability of the IC/DoD/NATO/State conglomerate to carry-out false flag operations that would box Putin in, force his hand and leave him no other options as described.
Point of Emphasis-2
It’s a race against time to see if Donald Trump can survive to be inaugurated and as Commander in Chief to intercede on this deliberate and insane 4-year march to Armageddon by Joe Biden and the Biden Administration as a proxy for the IC/DoD/NATO/State conglomerate.
3-BALTIC SEA INCIDENT DETAILS
The Baltic Sea incident details are provided by reporting from Zero Hedge:
The Finland National Bureau of Investigation published a statement that, based on a preliminary investigation, it has “decided to open a criminal investigation into the damage caused to the sea cable.”
Here’s the statement:
Based on preliminary inquiries, the National Bureau of Investigation (NBI) has decided to open a criminal investigation into the damage caused to the sea cable between Finland and Germany. The suspected criminal act is currently investigated as aggravated criminal mischief and aggravated interference with communications.
The National Bureau of Investigation is conducting an investigation into the damage caused to Cinia’s C-Lion-1 telecoms cable. The decision to open a criminal investigation was made today on Wednesday 20 November in cooperation with the Office of the Prosecutor General. Cinia submitted a request for an investigation to the NBI on Tuesday 19 November.
At this stage, the suspected criminal act is investigated as aggravated criminal mischief and aggravated interference with communications, but these may change as the investigation progresses.
The police will be releasing information on the progress of the criminal investigation at a later date.
On Monday, the Yi Peng 3, a Chinese-registered bulk carrier, was suspected of damaging two fiber-optic data cables beneath the Baltic Sea, which connect Finland, Germany, Sweden, and Lithuania. The bulk carrier is anchored in Kattegat Bay alongside a Danish Naval vessel.
The ship tracking website MarineTraffic shows the Danish Naval vessel “DNK NAVY PATROL P525” alongside Yi Peng 3 in Kattegat Bay. Both vessels are anchored.
X user Visegrád 24 claims military personnel from the Danish military vessel boarded Yi Peng 3.
“Denmark exercised the right under Art. X of the Submarine Cables Convention. It’s been done only once before, by the USA in 1959,” the X user said.
4-ANALYSIS THROUGH TIMING & LOCATION
Concerns about the timing and location of the Baltic Sea incident are obvious and immediate; especially through the lens of NATO membership.
Frame the timing analysis around what was positioned in the last two articles: “Putin said it’s firing long range missiles inside Russia, Inauguration Day is 63 days out and Joe just said FIRE AWAY! Position those 63 days within the projected range for a kinetic flashpoint to WWIII that has been forever positioned in the analysis: 05 Nov 24 +/- 3 months.”
Overlay those considerations with the Baltic Sea incident as an aggravating circumstance on a clear and long-established trajectory to WWIII.
As mentioned, the Baltic Sea represents waters contiguous to a war theater [Russia].
Through the war theater lens, the attack directly affected Finland, Germany, Sweden, and Lithuania.
Consider that Finland became a NATO member in 2023, Germany became a NATO member in 1955, Sweden became a NATO member in 2024 and Lithuania became a NATO member in 2004.
The location fact set is aggravated by the timing fact set where one obvious operational objective of the Baltic Sea incident [as a reciprocating act of asymmetrical warfare by China on behalf of its diplomatic, economic and military ally Russia], is a scenario where China’s actions were advance operations to precede a retaliatory strike from Russia.
Therefore, the timing would indicate a possible major counterstrike from Russia within the reported 2-week repair window in response to Biden’s authorization for long-range missile strikes inside Russia using US missiles and executed by a US proxy in Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, whom Biden just authorized to use US anti-personnel mines against Russian soldiers.
It is reasonable to assume that if Russia engages in counterstrikes, additional advance strikes to soften hard targets or eliminate strategic assets like communications, supply lines, energy production resources, transportation, etc., would reasonably fall in this 2-week window.
The timing and location fact set bear down on the analysis examining the threshold line for Putin’s measured restraint, what it might take to cross that line, what that timeline would be and what those broader outcomes might look like.
All of that is measured against Trump’s effort to stay alive and get inaugurated on 20 Jan 25 before Putin’s red line is crossed by the same forces still trying to dispatch Trump: the IC/DoD/NATO/State conglomerate.
5-FINAL REMARKS
In December 2022 in an article entitled War at All Costs, I said that if necessary, a desperate Biden Administration serving as a proxy for the IC/DoD/NATO/State conglomerate would absolutely pull the fire alarm of WWIII.
Well, the conglomerate lost control on 05 Nov 24 and thus far, its efforts to dispatch Trump have been fruitless.
This means the menu of options is very short and the shorter it gets, WWIII becomes the best one and this is exactly why the march that began with a policy shift by the incoming Biden Administration was the first step in this insane march to oblivion; that has now become a race to the finish line.
Either Trump wins this race against time or we all lose; potentially in the worst of ways.
The question everyone should be asking is three-fold: 1-What will it take to cross Putin’s threshold red line for measured restraint, 2-how long will it take to get to that line and 3-will the IC/DoD/NATO/State conglomerate do what is necessary in order to cross that line?
The analysis was clear in December 2022 when it laid-out the potential for Biden to pull the fire alarm of war.
By all indications, he’s reaching for the pull.
Let’s hope and pray that until the real Chief gets on scene, any Putin response entails reaching for the fire hose and not the gas can.
-End-
Why those cables and why now, it gives time for repair and surveillance? Strategically it would be better to cut them when they are needed. Was it a warning or do they get to tap into the comms while it is down??
Spot on. I saw a reference that the CCP ship was actually captained by a Russian? Unverified, but not surprising if true, and certainly corroborates the above.