Putin Validates War Analysis: The world stands on the transition line between full scale regional war and full scale global war

ANALYSIS: Putin validates analysis – we’re on the transition line between full scale regional war and World War III.

The manufactured insanity of this 4-year march to world war continues escalating in the direction of the unthinkable. It’s as if Joe Biden has been issued direct orders to grab his gas can and matches to burn the house down on his way out the front door. That analysis has us straddling the transition line between full scale regional war and limited to full scale global war. On Thursday, Vladimir Putin validated the analysis in virtually identical terms.

The analysis from this week is the required context to understand the nature of significant escalations that fall along a firmly established timeline initiated by a foreign policy shift by the incoming Biden Administration in late December 2020: From 2020 Foreign Policy Shift to WWIII in 2024 Biden Marches Us to War.

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This is the 226th article in the series War, Famine & Disease.

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Earlier this week, war escalations began to spiral following Joe Biden’s crossing of a clearly demarcated Russian red line when Biden authorized the use US of long-range missiles against targets deep inside Russia.

The following day, US proxy and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky carried-out those strikes then followed by another round of strikes with Storm Shadow missiles supplied by the UK.

War reciprocity applied as Putin responded by doing something never before done in world history: carrying-out wartime ICBM strikes against another country.

In that instance, the landscape fundamentally shifted and the timeline significantly retracted; where it’s important to note that both sides have now fired long-range nuclear-capable assets at the enemy.

From the last article,

“This week’s war escalation chronology entails:

1. Russia’s retaliatory ICBM strike against Ukrainian [NATO?] military targets: Russia Fires ICBM Into Ukraine For First Time, Kiev Claims.

2. Joe Biden’s Sunday authorization for long-range missiles against Russia: Trump Details Plan to “Dismantle the Deep State,” Deep State Counters by Crossing Putin’s Line on Long Range Missiles.

3. Ukraine’s Tuesday leveraging of Biden’s authorization to strike Russia with US long-range missiles: US Long-range Missiles Strike Inside Russia: US Proxy Zelensky Uses Biden’s Authorization to Follow-through on Threat.

4. Ukraine’s Wednesday firing of 12 UK [NATO] Storm Shadow missiles at Russia targeting the Kursk region in Southern Russia: 12 UK Storm Shadow Missiles Were Fired Into Russia, Local Sources Say.

Here is this week’s analysis lining-out the contextual backdrop and important details:

1. Trump Details Plan to “Dismantle the Deep State,” Deep State Counters by Crossing Putin’s Line on Long Range Missiles

2. US Long-range Missiles Strike Inside Russia: US Proxy Zelensky Uses Biden’s Authorization to Follow-through on Threat

3. More Asymmetrical, Irregular and Undeclared Warfare from China: Chinese Ship Sabotages Baltic Sea Cables

4. Manufactured Insanity of World War III Escalates, ICBMs for 1st Time Ever, Where Does This End?

The analysis laid-out 5 plausible outcomes and where time is taken time to identify ones already eclipsed: 1-threat of war, 2-limited scale regional war, 3-full scale regional war, 4-limited scale global war and 5-full scale global war.

The outcomes posed represent a LINEAR TRAJECTORY from the THREAT OF WAR to FULL SCALE GLOBAL WAR.

The analysis included this SUMMARY FINDING, which represents our current placement on the linear trajectory of 5 outcomes: CURRENT LOCATION: Resting on the transition line between a full scale regional war and a limited or full scale global war.

NEW DEVELOPMENT: The analysis was publicly validated when on Thursday, Vladimir Putin subsequently issued a public statement advising that, “A regional Ukraine conflict instigated by the West has acquired elements of a global one,” as reported at RT.

A quick survey of another Russian media site TASS indicates the same ominous warnings:

1. US decision to allow missile strikes deep into Russia fuels global escalation — Slovak PM

2. Russia entitled to use weapons against military sites of states attacking it — Duma

3. Signal to West and ‘red card’: experts weigh in on Putin’s missile launch statements

From the third item,

The important message in Vladimir Putin’s speech was that “Russia does believe that the West has shifted from a proxy-war to direct war” and that the parties find themselves in “a global conflict” now, Dmitry Suslov said.

TASS

Moreover and as Politico reports, “Ukraine’s former military Commander-in-Chief Valery Zaluzhny said that the direct involvement of Russia’s autocratic allies in its war on Ukraine means that World War III has started.”

Overlay those fact sets with this relative to Poland, a regional NATO member: Russia Lists US Missile Defense Base In Poland As ‘Priority Strike Target’.

Any kinetic flashpoint to envelop Poland into the existing war theater would suffice to trigger the broader global conflict as warned by Putin, reiterated by Zaluzhny and examined in this analysis since 19 Dec 20.

The Poland development is the latest direct evidence of the incremental war reciprocity examined so closely in this week’s analysis of the linear war trajectory ranging from the THREAT OF WAR to FULL SCALE GLOBAL WAR.

The indications are clear that this week has represented an intense escalation on a comparatively very short timeline.

The analysis parsed-out the incremental trajectory by looking at the amount of ground between increments and how long it took to cover it; where it’s a virtual 24-hour turnaround cycle.

This represents a considerable reduction of the timeline for a plausible progression to full scale global war.

Does such a timeline fit into the existing projected timeline for a kinetic flashpoint to WWIII?

This was asked and answered in the last article with a clear ‘yes.’

The existing kinetic flashpoint projection with an electoral basis was positioned as 05 Nov 24 +/- 3 months.

Does the reduced timeline progression for the linear trajectory to global war fit into this projected range for a flashpoint?

It fits like they were made for one another.

Whereas this article is constrained to mostly main points, please know that the analysis of this week goes into great depth to identify, examine and explain a full slate of variables, factors, boundaries, projections, etc. worthy of understanding for what is laid-out here as it applies to the broader scope.

CRITICAL POINT: War reciprocity drives the incremental escalations to impact the ever-steepening trajectory and Russia’s messaging to this end is crystal clear: “Russia has said a newly opened US missile defense base in Poland is now on a list of potential priority strike targets in the event of a bigger escalation. Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova warned that the US-NATO anti-missile base in the Polish village of Redzikowo is a threat to Russia for its “obvious potential” to inflict harm on Moscow’s deterrent forces.” [Source]

The remarks also fell directly onto pillar aspects of the analysis supporting positions on the generational encroachment of NATO on Russian national security and sovereignty: “She said that the opening of the base marks “yet another provocative step in a series of deeply destabilizing actions by the Americans and their allies in NATO in the strategic sphere.”

The development in Poland is a clear incremental step in the direction of pushing us from our current position resting on the transition line between full scale regional war and limited scale global war, which according to the aggregate analysis would immediately transition to full scale global war in three specific theaters: UKR/RSA/Europe, CHN/TWN/SoChnSea and the ME/IRN/SYR/ISR.

Conventional though puts Africa on the table, too.

All eyes on Poland.

In the mean time, we default to the existing analysis to understand the details of the transition line upon which we rest between a regional war and a global war:

Point of Emphasis-1

“Where is the threshold line to break Putin’s measured and calculated restraint? [Undetermined but encroaching closely on it. Best call: US is baiting Russia into a military response, which will be co-opted into a false-flag operation and positioned as a nuclear strike on Ukraine with attribution to Russia. This would permit strikes or counterstrikes on Russia depending on how it unpacked and that is the operational objective. Plenty of nuclear red lines already exist as issued by Biden and Putin so the existing pretext for such an operation is robust.]”

Most concerning could be the ability of the IC/DoD/NATO/State conglomerate to carry-out false flag operations that would box Putin in, force his hand and leave him no other options as described.

Point of Emphasis-2

It’s a race against time to see if Donald Trump can survive to be inaugurated and as Commander in Chief to intercede on this deliberate and insane 4-year march to Armageddon by Joe Biden and the Biden Administration as a proxy for the IC/DoD/NATO/State conglomerate.

Fit all of that in to the projected 05 Nov 24 +/- 3 months timeline framed by the 20 Jan 25 inauguration of Donald J. Trump as 47 to evaluate the timeline on the current escalated trajectory and the forecast is a dark one.

FINAL REMARKS

A last-second, pre-post check at Tass further informs the analysis along consistent lines: Any escalation scenario possible in Ukraine conflict — Medvedev.

Please stay tuned for further analysis as new developments unpack.

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