World War III: Escalations and Timelines

BRIEF ANALYSIS: New developments inform WWIII escalations and timelines.

Dec 19, 2024

This article is a quick update to keep the ongoing analysis and chronology of the past several weeks of marked escalations towards World War III updated and accurate. The contextual backdrop provided below positions new developments within the analysis where the headlines suffice for now. After saying goodbye to my best buddy and friend who lost his 2-year fight with lymphoma on 06 Dec 24, a brand new puppy has arrived on scene and requires almost all of my attention for the moment. As he settles in and isn’t quite so dependent, regular long-form analysis will resume. Until then, 1-long-range missile strikes deep inside of Russia continue, 2-Trump is obviously opposed, 3-South Korean President Yoon has been impeached, 4-the Romanian coup is in service to NATO as positioned, 5-military drills held by China concern Taiwan leadership, 6-Putin gives the same warning again that the analysis has been warning about for nearly 4 years about crossing [nuclear] red lines, 7-Ukraine has assassinated the Russian military officer who alleged biowarfare entanglements between Ukraine and US Democrats, 8-opposing sides continue to shape up as Jake Sullivan forces the issue with China, 9-NYC has troops deployed in an anti-terrorism capacity bearing the hallmarks of societal conditioning for US military on the streets and 10-Syria remains the most plausible kinetic flashpoint where the US is examining how to get boots on the ground to engage its war proxy, HTS. For now, presidential transition remains the most dangerous time period in the run-up to Donald Trump’s 20 Jan 25 inauguration where continued and deliberate escalations drive towards a kinetic flashpoint of 05 Nov 25 +/- 3 months.

This is the 243rd article in the series WAR, FAMINE & DISEASE.

Stay tuned for ongoing analysis.

-End of new content-

CONTEXTUAL BACKDROP

Chronology

The war escalation chronology that began in late December 2020 [From 2020 Foreign Policy Shift to WWIII in 2024 Biden Marches Us to War] intensified beginning 17 Nov 24 and it entails:

17 Nov 24: Joe Biden’s Sunday authorization for long-range missiles against Russia: Trump Details Plan to “Dismantle the Deep State,” Deep State Counters by Crossing Putin’s Line on Long Range Missiles.
19 Nov 24: Ukraine’s Tuesday leveraging of Biden’s authorization to strike Russia with US long-range missiles: US Long-range Missiles Strike Inside Russia: US Proxy Zelensky Uses Biden’s Authorization to Follow-through on Threat.
20 Nov 24: Ukraine’s Wednesday firing of 12 UK [NATO] Storm Shadow missiles at Russia targeting the Kursk region in Southern Russia: 12 UK Storm Shadow Missiles Were Fired Into Russia, Local Sources Say.
21 Nov 24: Russia’s retaliatory ICBM strike against Ukrainian [NATO?] military targets: Russia Fires ICBM Into Ukraine For First Time, Kiev Claims.
21 Nov 24: Russia’s Thursday attack on Ukraine using hypersonic missiles with MIRV technology: REPORT ACCELERATES ALREADY EXPEDITED WWIII TRAJECTORY: NATO and Ukraine to Hold Emergency Talks After Russian Hypersonic Missile Attack.
21 Nov 24: Russia’s Thursday advisement that a US/NATO missile base in Poland [NATO ally] that became operational this month [reported last Saturday] has been classified as a potential priority strike target: Putin Validates War Analysis: The world stands on the transition line between full scale regional war and full scale global war.
22 Nov 24: Ukraine’s Friday cancellation of regular parliament session to set emergency talks with NATO [from Breitbart]: NATO and Ukraine to Hold Emergency Talks After Russian Hypersonic Missile Attack.
24 Nov 24: Ukraine’s overnight Sunday strikes deep inside of Russia with ATACMS long-range missile systems provided by the United States: REPORT: Ukraine Carried-Out Overnight Strikes with US ATACMS Long-Range Missile Deep Inside Russia.
26 Nov 24: Ukraine and NATO hold emergency talks with an outcome defaulting to perpetual war and trending towards a chemical/nuclear entrapment scenario: All Eyes on NATO/Ukraine Emergency Talks as Russia Prepares for Counterattack to US ATACMS Strike and NATO and Ukraine Emergency Talks Result in Default to Previous Stance, Escalations Ease for Now, Russian Counterstrike Still Looms.
27 Nov 24: Putin addressed the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) Summit in Astana to lay-out plausible Kiev-based targets for Russia’s looming counterstrike: Decision-making centers in Kiev could be targeted in Oreshnik strikes — Putin.
28 Nov 24: Russia carries-out counterstrike in Ukraine in response to ATACMS strikes deep inside Russia deploying 100 drones and firing 90 missiles targeting Ukrainian power infrastructure and causing widespread blackouts affecting 1 million people: Putin Threatens Ukrainian Capital With New Hypersonic Missile.
29 Nov 24: Zelensky goes full circle on an expedited timeline to reposition Ukraine’s NATO membership as a trigger for global war: Zelenskyy Offers To End ‘Hot Phase’ Of War In Exchange For NATO Membership.
30 Nov 24: IC/DoD/NATO/State conglomerate engages in political protest for fuel regime change operations in former Russian satellite state and current target for NATO membership Georgia: Many thousands rally to oppose Georgian government after break with EU.
01 Dec 24: Jake Sullivan vows to “get Ukraine all the tools we possibly can to strengthen their position on the battlefield”: Sullivan Touts ‘Massive Surge’ In Arms To Ukraine With 50 Days Left In Biden’s Term.
02 Dec 24: China aligns with Russia in Syria: China vows support for Syria.
02 Dec 24: Russia rejects West’s concept of a “ceasefire” as a long-term solution for peace: Lavrov dismisses West’s ceasefire idea: ‘not a path to peace’.
02 Dec 24: Russia ends the lull to resume operations inside Ukraine carrying out strikes against military targets: Russian forces strike Ukrainian military airfields, UAV control posts over past day.
03 Dec 24: Globalist and Biden ally President Yoon declares martial law in South Korea: South Korea President Yoon declares martial law in unannounced TV address.
03 Dec 24: South Korean martial law is opposed politically and Yoon announces its lifting: South Korean President Announces Plan To Lift Martial Law In TV Address To Nation.
04 Dec 24: Russians engage a NATO ally German helicopter with warning shots in the Mediterranean Sea: Russian Ship Fires Warning Shots At German Military Helicopter In Baltic Sea.
04 Dec 24: Blinken pressures Ukraine to drop its conscription age: Blinken Ramps Up Pressure For Zelensky To ‘Get Younger People Into The Fight’.
05 Dec 24: Russia commits to keeping nuclear arms out of Ukraine in defiance of Biden’s designs for the opposite: Russia committed to preventing Ukraine from acquiring nuclear weapons — MFA.
06 Dec 24: Russia and China advise their citizens to evacuate Syria as it unravels inside-out with attacks from HTS: Russia, China Tell Their Citizens To Evacuate Syria Immediately.
06 Dec 24: Conglomerate engages in NATO member Romania to overturn pro-Russia election result: Romanian Court Annuls Vote, Declares Presidential Election Do-Over, After ‘Far Right, Pro Russian’ Candidate On Top.
07 Dec 24: Damascus falls to HTS and Bashar al-Assad flees the nation where reporting indicates his plane may have crashed. HTS rebels assume control: Damascus Has Fallen: Assad Has Reportedly Left The Capital.
08 Dec 24: Bashar al-Assad and family safely reach Moscow achieving political asylum: Damascus Now Ruled By ‘Al Qaeda In Suits’ As Assad Emerges In Moscow.
08 Dec 24: Rumors circulate of a ‘golden exile’ to London for Zelensky: Rumors Swirl About The West Planning To ‘Exile’ Zelenskyy.
08 Dec 24: Joe Biden authorizes strikes on 75 ISIS targets inside Syria: US Bombs 75 ISIS Targets Across Syria After Assad Overthrown
08 Dec 24: Joe Biden issues a statement indicating proxy status and further support for anti-Assad Syrian rebel forces operating as HTS: US Bombs 75 ISIS Targets Across Syria After Assad Overthrown, https://x.com/BenjAlvarez1/status/1865833234258350531.
09 Dec 24: HTS appoints new Syrian Prime Minister Mohammad Bashir: HTS Extremists Appoint New Prime Minister Of Syria.
10 Dec 24: Ukraine strikes Russia with 6 ATACMS long-range missiles that were reportedly neutralized: Moscow Threatens Retaliation After Ukraine Strikes Russia With 6 US-Made ATACMS Missiles.
10 Dec 24: HTS carries out retaliatory and sectarian assassinations in Syria following fall of Assad: Extremist Groups Carry Out Revenge, Sectarian Killings In HTS-Controlled Syria.

[Between 10-13 Dec., time for analysis was given to a related topic: Presidential Transition, Mental Gymnastics and the Economic Trap Being Set for the Incoming Trump Administration. Between 13-19 Dec., no time was made for analysis beyond reading as personal business took me out of state for 3 days. This article bridges the gap to get us back on schedule.]
13 Dec 24: Trump Slams Long-Range Missile Strikes On Russia
13 Dec 24: Trump Team Weighing Options For Preemptive Airstrikes On Iran’s Nuclear Program
13 Dec 24: Russia Launches Massive Attack On Ukrainian “Critical Fuel & Energy Infrastructure”
14 Dec 24: Possible Foreign Policy Shifts In The New Administration
14 Dec 24: South Korean President Impeached Over Martial Law Turmoil
14 Dec 24: Russia Rapidly Packing Up Military Equipment At Bases In Syria
15 Dec 24: US In ‘Direct Contact’ With Designated Terror Group HTS, Blinken Admits
15 Dec 24: Russian Forces Destroy More US Patriot Launchers & Advance Closer To Pokrovsk
15 Dec 24: NATO Head Says “Wartime Mindset” Needed; Redirect “Pensions, Health, Social Security” To Military Spending
16 Dec 24: Romania’s Constitutional Coup Is Meant To Buy More Time For NATO In Ukraine
16 Dec 24: Taiwan Leaders Shocked By Size Of Chinese Military Drills, US Remains Mute
16 Dec 24: South Korean President Skips Summons Amid Political Crisis, Faces Arrest Risk
16 Dec 24: West Pushing Russia Beyond ‘Red Line’ While Building Up Troops In Europe: Putin
16 Dec 24: Watch: Overnight Israeli Strike In Syria So Large It Caused Earthquake
17 Dec 24: Ukraine Assassinates Head Of Russia’s Chemical & Biological Defense Forces With ‘Scooter Bomb’ In Moscow
19 Dec 24: US Looking At ‘Getting People On The Ground In Syria’ To Engage HTS: Blinken
19 Dec 24: With Formation Of New ‘Axis’, China Has Critical Choice To Make, Says White House’s Sullivan
19 Dec 24: Terror Threat? NYC Now Deploys “Largest Military Presence In Subways Since 9/11 Aftermath”

Established Cycle

As indicated in the analysis and with war reciprocity bearing down, the established cycle is roughly 24 hours.

With a 24-hour turnover in the cycle and during this period of marked intensification, the analysis here is being published daily in the late morning or after.

Analysis

Here is the analysis for the 3-week escalation period now entering week 4:

Full Analysis

To view the aggregate analysis chronologically, see the War, Famine & Disease series.

5-Stage Linear War Trajectory

The analysis laid-out 5 plausible outcomes and where time is taken time to identify ones already eclipsed: 1-threat of war, 2-limited scale regional war, 3-full scale regional war, 4-limited scale global war and 5-full scale global war.

The outcomes posed represent a LINEAR TRAJECTORY from the THREAT OF WAR to FULL SCALE GLOBAL WAR.

The analysis indicates our current placement on the linear trajectory of 5 outcomes: CURRENT PLACEMENT: Resting on the transition line between a full scale regional war and a limited or full scale global war.

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ShanghaiMoon

I agree. I still haven't seen the interest that I would expect regarding the events in Syria, the Turkish shenanigans, and the Kurdish dilemma.

I have been pleasantly surprised by the 'conspiracy theories' we now see in mainstream conversations and awareness. The Overton Window is shifting, as is the acceptance of each new disclosure.

That Putin is still showing restraint speaks volumes to imply he sees something to gain with patience, with cooperation with DJT and a route forward in their battle with the Cabal Oligarchy.

I don't feel any desperation in their actions either, unlike the reactions by the Cabal Oligarchy.

Foolishly perhaps, but I have a sense of calm regarding it all working out.

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